Weather impact vs each parki
Stadium weather reporti
Every game, one board — click a column to rank it
| Game | First pitch | Conditions | HR impact | Runs | Strikeouts | O/U lean | Avg total |
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Real games. Real weather. Real results.
For every game on today's slate, we take the forecast at first pitch — temperature, wind speed and direction relative to the park's orientation, dew point, sky cover, and rain chances — and find every game played at that same ballpark in similar conditions since 2015 (or the park's first season) — matched on temperature, wind speed and direction, and humidity via dew point.
Then we simply report what actually happened in those games: how many home runs flew, how many runs scored, how many hitters struck out — and how often the game went over or under the closing total. No projections, no simulations, no black box. Just history, matched to today.
Reading the sample badge
What is the "Edge of the day"?
The headline game at the top of the slate is the open-air game where today's weather pushes home-run expectation furthest from that park's own average — in either direction. A +20% HR day at a park and a −20% HR day are both edges; domes never qualify. It's simply the biggest weather signal on the board, not a pick.
Probable pitchers in these conditions
Each breakdown also shows both probable pitchers' real career starts in weather like today's — strikeouts, home runs allowed, and ERA per 9 innings in similar conditions vs. their overall numbers. Same philosophy: actual game logs, not projections.
Conditions MVP
Each breakdown highlights the hitter on each team who has slugged best in weather like today's — three seasons of real game logs across all parks, matched to our weather history, minimum 25 at-bats. Rosters and logs refresh weekly.
Park-specific vs. league-wide
Weather impact vs this park compares today's conditions to that park's own average — the sharpest signal, since every park plays differently. Vs MLB average puts the same game on a league-wide scale so you can compare across the whole slate.
Domes & retractable roofs
When a roof is closed, weather is neutral by definition — we flag it and show the park's indoor baselines instead of a false edge.
Always current
DFSRADAR rebuilds automatically three times a day — every morning and again before the afternoon and evening slates — pulling the live MLB schedule, first-pitch forecasts at every park, real sportsbook totals, and the full 2019-present game log. Built for DFS players by the team behind DFS Books.